Author: Otaviano Canuto

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Otaviano Canuto

Otaviano Canuto

Otaviano Canuto is principal at the Center for Macroeconomics and Development, a senior fellow at the Policy Centre for the New South and a non-resident senior fellow at Brookings Institution. He is a former vice-president and a former executive director at the World Bank, a former executive director at the International Monetary Fund (IMF), and a former vice-president at the Inter-American Development Bank. Otaviano has been a regular columnist for CFI.co for the past seven years.

The Size of Biden’s Fiscal Package

The monetary policy report submitted by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System to the U.S. Congress on Friday Feb. 19 showed that the Fed’s members have improved economic growth expectations for 2021 and 2022, expect lower unemployment

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The Two Sides of Capital Flows into Brazil

There was a significant inflow of funds in Brazil’s external financial account in October and November for investments in both stocks and fixed income instruments. The bulk of the recent inflow has come in a passive way, and it did

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Don’t Expect Miracles from the Multilaterals

by Otaviano Canuto Latin American and Caribbean economies need help, but organisations such as the IDB are also stretched thin. With Latin America and the Caribbean potentially facing years of difficulties due to the pandemic and related economic crises, attention

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Whither Interest Rates in Advanced Economies: Low for Long?

by Otaviano Canuto We have previously discussed how, between March 2020, when the financial shock caused by COVID-19 occurred, and the end of August, the stock and corporate debt markets in the United States performed extraordinarily, despite gloomy prospects on

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China on the Way Back to Rebalancing

China’s economy keeps recovering from the coronavirus pandemic-led crisis through the third quarter of 2020, as revealed by the numbers of August activity. Its GDP grew by 3.2% in the second quarter, after falling by 6.8% in the first quarter,

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Otaviano Canuto: Dependency and Disconnect of U.S. Financial Markets

U.S. stock and corporate bond markets performed extraordinarily well from the March financial shock caused by covid-19 to the end of last month. Then, three consecutive weeks of decline in the three major stock market indexes have been followed this

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Otaviano Canuto: Brazil, South Korea – Two Tales of Climbing an Income Ladder

The “middle-income trap” has captured many developing countries: they succeeded in evolving from low per capita income levels, but then appeared to stall, losing momentum along the route toward the higher income levels of advanced economies (Gill & Kharas, 2007,

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Otaviano Canuto: Economic Recovery From the Pandemic May Come to Resemble a Square Root

Signs of recovery in various parts of the global economy started in May, after the depressive dip imposed by Covid-19. They emerged after the easing of restrictions on mobility and reflected policies of flattening the recession curve (income transfers to

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Brazil’s Economic Crossroads: Which Path Will It Choose?

Latin America’s largest economy entered the pandemic before it could heal from its worst recession in decades. First appeared at Americas Quarterly By Otaviano Canuto As the pandemic unfolds, Brazil is paying a huge human cost, with the number of

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Otaviano Canuto on Central Banks and Climate Change: Turning Black Swans Into Green

There are three possible motivations for the engagement by central banks with climate change: financial risks, macro-economic impacts, and mitigation/adaptation policies. Regardless of the extent to which individual central banks incorporate the three prongs of motivations, they can no longer

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